crypto issue, Knowledge

Reserve Bank of Australia: The issue of interest rate cuts was not explicitly discussed. Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock said that interest rate cuts were not explicitly considered, and interest rate hikes were not discussed. Considering whether the current policy stance is appropriate. The Committee believes that the economic situation is basically in line with the forecast.Afternoon comment: The Shanghai Composite Index rose more than 1% in half a day, and consumer concept stocks broke out collectively. The index was active in early trading. The Shanghai Composite Index rose more than 1% in half a day, and the Shanghai Composite Index rose more than 2%. In terms of sectors, robot concept stocks continued to break out, and the concept of PEEK materials led the rise. Both China Research Institute and Xinyi New Materials had a daily limit of 20cm, while Zhongxin Fluorescent Materials and Walter shares touched the daily limit; The large consumer sector collectively rose, with dairy stocks leading the gains, and Panda Dairy, Western Animal Husbandry and Li Ziyuan were trading daily; AI concept stocks fluctuated higher, and it is worth buying 20cm daily limit, Hanwang Technology, Xinhua Media and other daily limit; Insurance stocks strengthened, and Tianli Technology, Astar, Focus Technology and other daily limit. Overall, individual stocks showed a general upward trend, with more than 4,600 stocks rising. On the disk, all sectors in the two cities generally rose, with PEEK materials, film and television theaters and dairy sectors among the top gainers.Sudan and South Sudan extended the opening hours of the humanitarian corridor between the two countries, and the governments of Sudan and South Sudan signed an agreement on December 9 local time to extend the opening hours of the humanitarian corridor between the two countries until February 2 next year. According to the agreement, air routes from South Sudan to Kadugli, the capital of South Kordofan State in Sudan, and Garad and Kaunau will continue to be open to facilitate the delivery of humanitarian aid from South Sudan to Sudan. After the agreement expires on February 2 next year, the two sides will also discuss the extension.

Reserve Bank of Australia: Potential inflation is still too high. There is still uncertainty about the prospects. The Committee is increasingly convinced that inflationary pressure is decreasing with the recent forecast, but the risk still exists. The Committee will continue to rely on data and changing risk assessments to guide its decision-making. Although the potential inflation is still at a high level, other recent economic activity data are mixed, but overall, November data is weaker than expected.Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.China's 10-year government bond yield fell by 5 basis points to 1.855%, a record low.

The turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1.5 trillion, exceeding 430 billion compared with yesterday.Datong, Shanxi: Parents' and children's provident funds can be withdrawn to buy houses. On December 9, the Housing Provident Fund Management Center of Datong City, Shanxi Province issued the Notice on Adjusting the Policy of Withdrawing and Lending Some Housing Provident Funds. According to the document, the minimum down payment ratio for the first set of housing and the second set of housing is 20% for paid employees who use provident fund loans to purchase self-occupied commercial housing, and 15% for affordable housing. At the same time, the interest rate of individual housing provident fund loans will be lowered by 0.25 percentage points. From May 18, 2024, the interest rates of the first set of individual housing provident fund loans for less than five years (including five years) and more than five years will be adjusted to 2.35% and 2.85% respectively, and the interest rates of the second set of individual housing provident fund loans for less than five years (including five years) and more than five years will be adjusted to 2.775% and 3.325% respectively. Datong will also appropriately increase the amount of provident fund loans. For high-level talents, families with two or more children and families with active military personnel, the maximum amount of housing provident fund loans will rise by 20% on the basis of the current policy. Expand the scope of housing provident fund purchase, and when employees purchase housing, they can also apply for the withdrawal of housing provident fund for parents or children.LI: In the 49th week of 2024 (12.2-12.8), the weekly sales volume of LI reached 12,600 vehicles, ranking first in the sales volume of new power brands in China market for 33 consecutive weeks.